07 July 2010

tropical depression two


000
WTNT32 KNHC 080304
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022010
1000 PM CDT WED JUL 07 2010

...SECOND TROPICAL DEPRESSION OF THE ATLANTIC SEASON FORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ISSUED...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...23.9N 93.9W ABOUT 265 MI...425 KM ESE OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM E OF LA PESCA MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/HR MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE TEXAS COAST SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE...AND THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM RIO SAN FERNANDO TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...* FROM SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TEXAS TO RIO SAN FERNANDO MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.9 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION ACCOMPANIED BY A SLIGHT DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO MAKE LANDFALL NEAR THE TEXAS-MEXICO BORDER THURSDAY AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BEFORE LANDFALL OCCURS ON THURSDAY.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON NOAA AIRCRAFT RECONNAISSANCE DATA IS ESTIMATED TO BE 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 4 TO 8 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND COASTAL TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES.

WIND...TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...100 AM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...400 AM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART/CANGIALOSI

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